Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 4.074380 4.375124 4.696976 5.068714 5.488355 5.949919 6.499475
2025-06-08 3.591420 4.011254 4.489822 5.082500 5.806570 6.675823 7.819875
2025-06-15 3.322983 3.812122 4.394665 5.153476 6.137762 7.405062 9.221647
2025-06-22 3.017987 3.522685 4.141282 4.974999 6.102659 7.630303 9.967761
2025-06-29 2.800131 3.314923 3.961028 4.857202 6.113990 7.895600 10.792325
2025-07-06 2.629595 3.150350 3.817249 4.765569 6.138768 8.167523 11.661304
2025-07-13 2.509834 3.040879 3.734121 4.743907 6.253077 8.578124 12.832329
2025-07-20 2.441943 2.993511 3.728199 4.826220 6.524872 9.267922 14.656484
2025-07-27 2.390203 2.963104 3.741167 4.933683 6.843420 10.080979 16.950074
2025-08-03 2.313546 2.893151 3.692369 4.942065 7.000237 10.633767 18.879321
2025-08-10 2.222065 2.797282 3.599751 4.874190 7.020043 10.934473 20.334225
2025-08-17 2.121461 2.683677 3.474770 4.745727 6.921599 10.991576 21.211946
2025-08-24 2.035323 2.589978 3.378634 4.663777 6.909892 11.246770 22.793829
2025-08-31 1.979321 2.537408 3.341445 4.675475 7.070036 11.891390 25.808398
2025-09-07 1.940441 2.507383 3.335846 4.737735 7.329850 12.805318 30.235438
2025-09-14 1.851712 2.400221 3.206259 4.580965 7.153494 12.696333 31.103284
2025-09-21 1.781563 2.317886 3.111301 4.477281 7.070796 12.796133 32.852447
2025-09-28 1.721486 2.248197 3.032721 4.396506 7.025009 12.977638 35.080637
2025-10-05 1.679104 2.203372 2.991058 4.377396 7.101821 13.483100 39.159689
2025-10-12 1.659217 2.191544 3.000899 4.449982 7.376524 14.572184 47.332144
2025-10-19 1.644801 2.187265 3.022307 4.544618 7.710439 15.924604 59.344386
2025-10-26 1.613579 2.155806 2.997682 4.551993 7.852478 16.760470 69.814380
2025-11-02 1.571028 2.105300 2.939449 4.492244 7.835118 17.099994 77.216064